ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT OF IT COMPANIES
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17721/1728-2667.2026/228-1/18Keywords:
market competition, IT services market, structural market asymmetry, oligopolistic market core, market concentrationAbstract
B a c k g r o u n d . Ukraine's IT services market has remained a dynamic and export-oriented segment of the economy during the full-scale war, while undergoing consolidation, exits, mergers and acquisitions (M&A), and restructuring processes. Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are gaining visibility, yet competitive conditions remain ambiguous due to business groups comprising multiple legal entities. This study focuses on Ukraine's IT services market, examining the competitive environment and structural market asymmetries from 2022 to 2024. It aims to evaluate the level and dynamics of competition by analyzing market concentration and structural asymmetries during this period.
M e t h o d s . A system-structural approach is applied, using concentration metrics for firms classified under Classificator of Types of Economic Activities (KVED) sections 62 and 63. Indicators include the Herfindahl–Hirschman Index (HHI), concentration ratios (CR₃, CR₅), the Gini Index, the Entropy Index, the Linda Index, and variance-based measures. Market shares are calculated from revenue; the SME share in total market revenue is also tracked. Descriptive statistics are complemented by comparative analysis across 2022–2024 on a research sample of 411 companies (13 large), with particular attention to the gap between the number of legal entities and verified active companies.
R e s u l t s . The market exhibits complex corporate structures: 8.6 thousand legal entities provided IT services in 2024, but only 2,118 companies were verified as active. HHI fell from 433.68 (2022) to 170.86 (2024), signalling stronger competition. CR₃ declined from 26.18% to 17.77%, and CR₅ from 34.13% to 23.31%; the SME revenue share rose from 52.7% to 62.4%. Distributionsensitive measures reveal a hybrid structure: high entropy (E = 5.09) and low variance indicate broad participation, whereas the Gini Index (0.601), the Linda Index (169.2%), and the Lorenz curve point to a dominant core in the upper segment. By business model, outsourcing firms prevail (47% in 2024), followed by product (31%), mixed (19%), and outstaffing (3%).
C o n c l u s i o n s . Ukraine's IT services market is moving toward a more competitive, decentralized configuration while an oligopolistic core persists. The simultaneous rise of SMEs and the weakening of top players' shares reduces monopolization risks, enhances resilience, and suggests growing value-added potential. Policy should balance SME entry and scaling with support for high-value, export-oriented capabilities through cooperation with market leaders. The proposed methodology can be applied to other high-tech markets, while future research should examine the links between concentration dynamics, financial stability, and the role of business models in shaping the competitive environment.
Downloads
References
Aghion, P., Bloom, N., Blundell, R., Griffith, R., & Howitt, P. (2005). Competition and innovation: An inverted-U relationship. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(2), 701–728. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/120.2.701
Autor, D., Dorn, D., Katz, L. F., Patterson, C., & Van Reenen, J. (2020). The fall of the labor share and the rise of superstar firms. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135(2), 645–709. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjaa004
Bessen, J. (2020). Industry concentration and information technology. Journal of Law and Economics, 63(3), 531–555. https://doi.org/10.1086/708703
De Loecker, J., & Eeckhout, J. (2020). The rise of market power and the macroeconomic implications. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135(2), 561–644. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjz041
Grullon, G., Larkin, Y., & Michaely, R. (2019). Are US industries becoming more concentrated? Review of Finance, 23(4), 697–743.https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfz007
Ihnatiuk, A., & Kolosha, V. (2024). Market concentration of banking services in Ukraine: Current state and prospects. Bulletin of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv. Economics, 1(224), 37–44 [in Ukrainian]. [Ігнатюк, А., & Колоша, В. (2024). Ринкова концентрація банківських послуг в Україні: сучасний стан та перспективи. Вісник Київського національного університету імені Тараса Шевченка. Економіка, 1(224), 37–44]. https://doi.org/10.17721/1728-2667.2024/224-1/5
IT Research Ukraine. (2024). IT Research Ukraine 2024: Resilience as a new reality. Lviv IT Cluster. https://itcluster.lviv.ua/projects/it-research-ukraine/
Korablinova, I. A., & Kulbatska, N. M. (2017). Current issues of research of the IT market of Ukraine. Efektyvna Ekonomika, 12 [in Ukrainian]. [Кораблінова, І. А., & Кульбацька, Н. М. (2017). Актуальні питання дослідження ІТ-ринку України. Ефективна економіка, 12]. http://www.economy.nayka.com.ua/?op=1&z=5997
Kvålseth, T. O. (2018). Relationship between concentration ratio and Herfindahl–Hirschman index. Heliyon, 4(10), e00846. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2018.e00846
Lisik, O., & Moriak, T. (2023). Analysis of the state of the IT sector of Ukraine in the conditions of full-scale war. Economy and Society, 55. https://doi.org/10.32782/2524-0072/2023-55-67
OECD. (2024). Enhancing resilience by boosting digital business transformation in Ukraine. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/4b13b0bb-en
Peleckis, K. (2022). Determining the level of market concentration in the context of competition policy: Methodological approach. Sustainability, 14(2), 779. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14020779
Shthuler, I. Yu., & Prestaya, V. V. (2023). IT services market: Trends of economic development and guidelines for Ukraine. Actual Problems of Economics, 3(261), 25–31. https://eco-science.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/3.23._topic_Iryna-Yu.-Shtuler-Viktor-V.-Prestaya25-31-2.pdf
U.S. Department of Justice, Antitrust Division. (2024, January 17). Herfindahl–Hirschman Index. https://www.justice.gov/atr/herfindahlhirschman-index
U.S. Department of Justice, & Federal Trade Commission. (2023). Merger guidelines. https://www.justice.gov/atr/2023-merger-guidelines
Zavhorodnia, Ye., & Melnyk, T. (2023). Theoretical foundations of competition and competitiveness of the IT sector. Economy and Society, 52. https://doi.org/10.32782/2524-0072/2023-52-30
Zhou, H. (2022). Measurement of market (industry) concentration based on value validity. PLOS ONE, 17(3), e0264613. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0264613
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Галина ФИЛЮК, д-р екон. наук, проф., Олександр КУЗЬМЕНКО, асп., Станіслава СТОЯНОВА-АСЕНОВА, д-р філософії, доц.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Please read more here: https://econom.bulletin.knu.ua/copyright
